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大家经常听到的债券收益率曲线,还有“牛陡牛平,熊陡熊平”,这些指的是什么?
什么是债券收益率曲线?它是描述在某一时点上一组可交易债券的收益率与其剩余到期期限之间数量关系的一条曲线,即在直角坐标系中,以债券剩余到期期限为横坐标、债券收益率为纵坐标绘制的曲线。一条合理的债券收益率曲线将反映出某一时点(或某一天)不同期限债券的到期收益率水平。
围绕收益率曲线,我们在债券投资中经常能听到“牛陡牛平,熊陡熊平”的说法,这又是什么呢?
牛平:即整体收益率曲线出现下行,收益率曲线的下移体现为债市的牛市,因此有了“牛”字。然而,短端利率下行不多,长端利率下滑更多(体现为投资者更青睐买入长期品种),从而使收益率曲线的整体斜率变缓,即呈现为“平”,整体称之为“牛平”。
牛陡:即整体收益率曲线出现下行,收益率曲线的下移体现为债市的牛市,因此有了“牛”字。然而,长端利率下行不多,短端利率下滑更多(体现为投资者更青睐买入短期品种),从而使收益率曲线的整体斜率变陡峭,即曲线呈现为“陡”,整体称之为“牛陡”。
熊平:即整体收益率曲线出现上行,收益率曲线的上移体现为债市的熊市,因此有了“熊”字。然而,长端利率上行不多,短端利率上行更多(体现为投资者对短期品种的抛售力度更大),从而使收益率曲线的整体斜率变平缓,即曲线呈现为“平”,整体称之为“熊平”。
熊陡:即整体收益率曲线出现上行,收益率曲线的上移体现为债市的熊市,因此有了“熊”字。然而,长端利率上行更多,短端利率上行较少(体现为投资者对长期品种抛售力度更大),从而使收益率曲线的整体斜率变陡峭,即曲线呈现为“陡”,整体称之为“熊陡”。
投资者在使用债券收益率曲线时,会关注收益率曲线短端和长端的变化情况。其中,短端利率的变化预示着货币政策的松紧。短端的下行预示货币政策宽松,短端的上行预示货币政策收紧;而收益率曲线的长端又预示着市场对经济的看法。长端的下行预示未来经济衰退,上行预示未来经济增长。
因此,债券收益率曲线(牛熊平陡)的不同形态变化,是债券市场对经济环境、政策环境的预期变化的反应。在不同形态下建立不同的市场应对策略,以追求最优收益并尽力控制回撤,这就是我们固收基金经理们的专业工作。
风险提示:基金有风险,投资需谨慎。本资料中的信息或所表达的意见仅供参考,并不构成任何投资建议。投资人购买基金时应详细阅读基金的基金合同、招募说明书和基金产品资料概要等法律文件,充分认识基金的风险收益特征和产品特性,充分考虑自身状况选择与自身风险承受能力相匹配的产品。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽职的原则管理和运用基金资产,但不保证基金本金不受损失,不保证基金一定盈利,也不保证最低收益。我国基金运作时间较短,不能反映股市发展的所有阶段。
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文武之道一张一弛?文武之道一张一弛的意思是什么!
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家乡那些特别的年俗 暖锅 臊面 文\邓明 核心提示 陇原大地,气候多样,其间穿插高原、山地、平川、草原、沙漠、戈壁各种地貌,各民族繁衍生息,耕田放牧,相互影响,形成了大致相同的陇上…
2023年3月6日 -
桉字取名的寓意男孩?桉字取名的寓意男孩名字!
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2022年10月9日,“中国树王”的记录再度被刷新。在喜马拉雅山脉东麓一片漫滩森林中,一棵云南黄果冷杉经过反复人工测量,得到了自己的准确身高:83.4米,相当于28层楼高。这超过了…
2022年11月16日 -
部编语文1-6年级下册:《快乐读书吧》知识点整理
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一年级下册 读读童谣和儿歌(一) 1.《外婆桥》:糖果甜甜的,但是吃太多对牙齿不好哟! 2.《拉大锯》:“拉大锯”可以锻炼小朋友手臂和胸部的力量哟。 3.《新年到》:贴春联、挂年画…
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历史知识系列三、流和氓各是什么意思?
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熟知中国历史或者文学史的应该知道,我们伟大的国人喜欢把两个相近释义的字组织在一起造字。譬如凤凰、流氓、皇帝、盗贼诸如此类!闲话少扯,今天来聊聊何为流氓…… …
2022年9月7日 -
徐姓男孩取名,徐姓男孩取名属兔5月?
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如果没有18年的那场意外,他可能也会有一个非常温暖舒适的家庭。 如果18年前没有目睹人贩子将自己母亲残忍杀害,那当时只有7岁的小男孩或许会过上无忧无虑的生活。 如果没有拐卖,那也不…
2023年6月16日